I did this four years ago, and predicted Germany to reach the final of the World Cup.
Here’s my stats for 2006:
- There have been 17 World Cup Finals – 7 in the American continent, 9 in the European continent, 1 in Asia.
- Only 7 nations have ever won the trophy – 4 from Europe, and 3 from the Americas
- 4 nations account for 14 of the 17 trophies
- The host nation has won the trophy 6 times out of 17 tournaments
- Of the 7 nations who have won the trophy, Brazil are the only side not to have done so on their own soil.
- Brazil have featured in 7 of the final matches and have won the trophy 5 times. Germany have also featured in 7 finals, but have won only 3.
- Brazil are the only country to have won the trophy outside of their own continent (Sweden in 1958, Japan and South Korea in 2002)
- Brazil are the only team to have featured in every single World Cup Final tournament
- Only 11 nations have ever reached the final match of the tournament
- Only 4 nations have reached the final match without winning the trophy (Holland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia and Sweden)
- England, Uruguay and France have only won the trophy once each
- Holland and Hungary have reached the final match twice each, but have never won the trophy.
- Of the 11 nations who have reached the final match, Brazil and Germany have reached it 7 times out of the 17 finals, whilst Italy have reached it 5 times
- The forthcoming tournament in Germany is the first time the previous winners have not automatically qualified for the finals.
- Germany, as hosts, are the only side to have automatically qualified for this tournament.
- Brazil and Italy were finalists challenging for their 3rd cup in 1970 and for their 4th cup in 1994. In both matches, Brazil won.
- The final match has only ever been contested between South American and European sides.
- South America has won 9 titles, Europe 8.
- Only three South American countries have won the tournament, but four European sides have won it.
- The last four final matches have featured the losing side not scoring in open play. No other final matches in the tournament have ended with one of the sides not scoring.
- The highest total number of goals scored in a final match is 7 (Brazil beat Sweden 5-2 in 1958)
- The highest number of goals scored by a winning side in the final match is 5, when Brazil beat Sweden 5-2 in 1958
- The highest number of goals scored by a losing side in the final match is 2
- No country has ever won the final match by more than 3 goals
- Out of all 17 final matches, the winning side has scored 3 goals in only 5 of the matches
- Only one final match has ended with a single goal – when Germany beat Argentina 1-0 in 1990.
- Brazil drew against Italy in the USA final in 1994, and the tournament was decided on penalties for the first and only time so far in its history
- England’s Geoff Hurst is the only player ever to score a hat-trick in the final match – when England beat Germany 4-2 in 1966
- Given the statistics of the finalists, the final match is likely to include at least two of the following teams:
Serbia and Montenegro
Given the additional statistics about continental bias, host nations and country ranking/performance, it is more likely that a European side which has already won the trophy will win the forthcoming tournament in Germany, by a margin of no more than 2 goals in the final match.
Therefore, one of the following teams are likely to be the winner:
- Both sides have won the trophy 3 times each. Italy have lost 2 finals, Germany 3.
- Both have previously won the tournament on their home soil.
- Italy have beaten Germany once in the final match.
The statto prediction for the 2002 World Cup winners?